5 Jul · 08:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1496
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kuchyna
KK
🇺🇦Kyrylo Kuchyna
ELO 1499
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 70% (27)
Fair odds · Kuchyna
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.