5 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1574
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Brichacek
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1590
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Brichacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (24)
Fair odds · Brichacek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.