5 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Bului
ELO 1526
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bului
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1492
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Bului
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H10-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.