5 Jul · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1511
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Burylov
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1548
FormLLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Makara covers set handicap as underdog 63% (41)
Fair odds · Burylov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
Elo Gap+37
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.