5 Jul · 07:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1535
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kvak
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1504
FormLLWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kvak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~70 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.