5 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1552
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Hala
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1553
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Hala
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.