5 Jul · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YB
🇺🇦Yurii Bondarenko
ELO 1520
FormLWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Bondarenko
YM
🇺🇦Yaroslav Makovka
ELO 1445
FormWLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Bondarenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)