5 Jul · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇺🇦Maksym Baday
ELO 1900
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Baday
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fedoryshyn
ELO 1833
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
🌟Baday goes over total as favourite 67% (36)
Fair odds · Baday
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H81-70
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (81-70)