5 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇺🇦Martin Melisek
ELO 1574
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Melisek
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1552
FormWLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Melisek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.