5 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1495
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Droshchynskyi
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Droshchynskyi
ELO 1544
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Varlamov🌟Varlamov covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Droshchynskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)