5 Jul · 12:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Mejzlik
ELO 1492
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mejzlik
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1476
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🌟Jnr stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Mejzlik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.