5 Jul · 13:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇺🇦Jakub Dufek Jnr
ELO 1476
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jnr
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1418
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)