5 Jul · 15:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Valeriy Melnik
ELO 1546
FormWWWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Tuzhylin
AT
🇺🇦Alexander Tuzhylin
ELO 1722
FormWWLWW
32%
68%
🌟Tuzhylin goes over total as favourite 65% (23)
Fair odds · Tuzhylin
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+176
H2H84-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-57)