5 Jul · 15:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1552
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Radkovsky
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1638
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Radkovsky
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)