5 Jul · 14:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1456
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Treschetka
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1449
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H5-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.