5 Jul · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1431
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Mukhin
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1358
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)