5 Jul · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇺🇦Maksym Baday
ELO 1900
FormWWWWL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Baday
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1665
FormWWWWL
73%
27%
🔥 Underdog lean · Aristarkhov🌟Aristarkhov covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Baday
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+235
H2H35-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+235)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-5)