5 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1759
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Fedoryshyn
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fedoryshyn
ELO 1833
FormWLWLL
42%
58%
🌟Lushchyk covers set handicap as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Fedoryshyn
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H85-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (85-27)