5 Jul · 09:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotyk
ELO 1474
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hura
OH
🇺🇦Orest Hura
ELO 1481
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
🌟Kotyk stays under total as underdog 68% (34)
Fair odds · Hura
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.