5 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YB
🇺🇦Yurii Bondarenko
ELO 1520
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Droshchynskyi
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Droshchynskyi
ELO 1544
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
🌟Droshchynskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (16)
Fair odds · Droshchynskyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.