5 Jul · 15:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1456
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1481
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Kurtenko stays under total as favourite 67% (43)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.