5 Jul · 14:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1425
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kondratenko
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1449
FormWLWLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Klymenko🌟Klymenko covers set handicap as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Kondratenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H10-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.