5 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OT
🇺🇦Oleksii Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1518
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tiutiunnyk
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1492
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Tiutiunnyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.