5 Jul · 14:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1517
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ivasiv
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Regush
ELO 1464
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Ivasiv
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H6-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)