5 Jul · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1448
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Salivonchyk
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1500
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
🌟Salivonchyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (14)
Fair odds · Salivonchyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~72 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H32-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-29)