5 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Blashkun
ELO 1437
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Varlamov
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1495
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🌟Blashkun stays under total as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Varlamov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)