5 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PH
🇺🇦Pavel Hala
ELO 1553
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Brichacek
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1590
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hala🌟Hala covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Brichacek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.