5 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇺🇦Marek Cizek
ELO 1492
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cizek
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1412
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
🌟Kubos goes over total as underdog 62% (29)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)