5 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1611
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Aristarkhov
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1665
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H14-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-13)