5 Jul · 10:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1369
FormLWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stopin
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Stopin
ELO 1475
FormLLWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Stopin
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H26-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-2)