5 Jul · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1665
FormWWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Fedoryshyn
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fedoryshyn
ELO 1833
FormWLWLL
33%
67%
🌟Aristarkhov covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Fedoryshyn
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H35-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-5)