5 Jul · 13:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1449
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Leonenko
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1425
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Klymenko🌟Leonenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (22)
Fair odds · Leonenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H49-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.