5 Jul · 15:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1418
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klymenko
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1425
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Klymenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H5-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.