5 Jul · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1596
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Rulc
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1511
FormLWWLL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Makara🌟Rulc goes over total as favourite 63% (30)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H28-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)