5 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ID
🇺🇦Ihor Dubinin
ELO 1484
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zvolynskyi
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1502
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Zvolynskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H4-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.