5 Jul · 15:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1449
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vasyliev
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Vasyliev
ELO 1486
FormWWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Vasyliev
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 25% · 3.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.