5 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kyrylo Kuchyna
ELO 1499
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lutsyshyn
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1528
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Lutsyshyn stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Lutsyshyn
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.