5 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1495
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Varlamov
YM
🇺🇦Yaroslav Makovka
ELO 1445
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Varlamov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)