5 Jul · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OH
🇺🇦Orest Hura
ELO 1481
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hura
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1432
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shypilov🌟Shypilov covers set handicap as underdog 64% (44)
Fair odds · Hura
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H21-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)