5 Jul · 14:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇺🇦Maksym Khomenko
ELO 1501
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Khomenko
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Budnikov
ELO 1490
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Budnikov covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Khomenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H16-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.