5 Jul · 12:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1432
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Shypilov
OM
🇺🇦Oleksii Mitla
ELO 1409
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mitla🌟Shypilov goes over total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Shypilov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H36-44
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.