5 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1552
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Brichacek
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1590
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
🌟Brichacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (24)
Fair odds · Brichacek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.