5 Jul · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1439
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1515
FormLLWWL
42%
58%
⚡ Cover lean · Stetsenko
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)