5 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1490
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cizek
MC
🇺🇦Marek Cizek
ELO 1492
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Merkl covers set handicap as underdog 77% (22)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H9-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.