5 Jul · 12:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1611
FormWLWLW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Baday
MB
🇺🇦Maksym Baday
ELO 1900
FormWWWWL
23%
77%
🌟Baday goes over total as favourite 67% (36)
Fair odds · Baday
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 88% · 1.14· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~76 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
18%
3-2
9%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+289
H2H37-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+289)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-1)