5 Jul · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1535
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kvak
KK
🇺🇦Kyrylo Kuchyna
ELO 1499
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kvak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.