5 Jul · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IK
🇺🇦Ihor Kvak
ELO 1535
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kvak
OL
🇺🇦Oleh Lutsyshyn
ELO 1528
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Lutsyshyn stays under total as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Kvak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.