5 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OV
🇺🇦Oleg Varlamov
ELO 1495
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Opryshchenko
YO
🇺🇦Yehor Opryshchenko
ELO 1500
50%
50%
🌟Varlamov covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Opryshchenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.