6 Jul · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1583
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Loboda
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1552
FormWLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 80% (15)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H48-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.