6 Jul · 09:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1491
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1503
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Osadchyi🌟Osadchyi covers set handicap as underdog 83% (29)
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H20-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.